0xd3c59e...5adeee

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.3%

Total P&L

+$528

Trade Count

1,115

Sharpe Ratio

0.23

Sortino Ratio

15.53

Max Drawdown

108.8%

ROI

7.7%

Profit Factor

1.43

Kelly Fraction

0.164

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BUY	80.0¢	32.688	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BUY	78.0¢	41.897	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BUY	78.0¢	39.731	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	BUY	79.0¢	37.316	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	BUY	78.0¢	47.256	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BUY	80.0¢	43.942	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	BUY	77.0¢	43.143	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	BUY	81.0¢	39.235	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	BUY	81.7¢	37.268	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	BUY	84.0¢	34.964	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	BUY	82.0¢	34.366	Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	22.0¢	45.455	Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	100	Mar 3
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	SELL	95.0¢	53.19	Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	100	Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?	BUY	0.8¢	124.65	Mar 3
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	18.8¢	53.191	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	BUY	82.0¢	26.037	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	BUY	77.0¢	25.312	Mar 3
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	3.7¢	100	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.60

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.5%

Win Consistency67.3%

Profit Factor0.76

Drawdown Resilience0.61

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61

Weekly Sharpe est.0.47

Trading Activity1,115 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,9430d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue