0xd3eba9...6b6df6

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.3%

Total P&L

+$11

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.33

Sortino Ratio

-1.05

Max Drawdown

51.8%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

2.50

Kelly Fraction

0.350

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	1.7¢	930	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.2¢	210	Feb 24
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	217.652	Jan 26
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	BUY	95.1¢	210.155	Jan 20
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	12.4¢	220	Jan 14
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	12.2¢	220	Jan 13
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?	SELL	98.5¢	200	Jan 11
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?	BUY	99.1¢	200	Jan 9
Maduro out in 2025?	BUY	97.5¢	199.994	Dec 24
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	SELL	0.2¢	190	Dec 14
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BUY	0.6¢	190	Dec 10
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.0¢	200	Dec 8
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.2¢	200	Dec 5
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	0.7¢	230	Dec 3
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	0.7¢	230	Dec 2
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	SELL	92.9¢	210	Dec 1
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	BUY	93.3¢	210	Nov 30
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	SELL	1.0¢	220	Nov 28
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	1.2¢	220	Nov 26
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?	SELL	99.1¢	200	Nov 25

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.95

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.3%

Win Consistency46.2%

Profit Factor0.92

Drawdown Resilience0.75

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75

Weekly Sharpe est.0.57

Trading Activity47 trades · 47 active days

P&L Calendar

$84221d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue