0xd41df5...05f87b

Smart Score

Win Rate

90.5%

Total P&L

+$5

Trade Count

117

Sharpe Ratio

0.02

Sortino Ratio

0.01

Max Drawdown

14266.0%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

4.73

Kelly Fraction

0.713

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	94.5¢	5.64	Mar 5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	41.9¢	33.63	Feb 27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	44.3¢	19.187	Feb 20
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	44.5¢	14.449	Feb 20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	71.6¢	2.34	Feb 18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	75.8¢	2.348	Feb 11
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	68.0¢	11.15	Feb 3
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	67.4¢	11.157	Jan 27
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.2¢	4.18	Jan 23
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	95.4¢	4.182	Jan 16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	SELL	94.8¢	3.23	Jan 13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	96.9¢	3.23	Jan 6
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	SELL	98.3¢	4.55	Dec 26
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	BUY	96.6¢	4.555	Dec 19
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	BUY	98.4¢	8.201	Dec 12
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	SELL	95.2¢	7.96	Dec 8
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BUY	90.3¢	7.962	Dec 1
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	SELL	94.9¢	2.85	Nov 24
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	BUY	96.4¢	2.853	Nov 17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	SELL	97.4¢	1.41	Nov 12

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.92

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.8%

Win Consistency62.2%

Profit Factor0.91

Drawdown Resilience0.73

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73

Weekly Sharpe est.0.56

Trading Activity57 trades · 56 active days

P&L Calendar

$3525d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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