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0xd4382CbEEe710d73094fd811238983F3Cd31f63d-1767732470173

0x3b3ca6...ccff9a
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
17.3%
Total P&L
-$95
Trade Count
578
Sharpe Ratio
0.98
Sortino Ratio
4.81
Max Drawdown
1360.4%
ROI
-5.2%
Profit Factor
0.77
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
019.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY10.0¢77Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?SELL10.0¢8.89Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY9.0¢77Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY39.0¢14.4Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY39.8¢14.51Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY39.7¢14.88Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY11.0¢8.89Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY39.7¢15.29Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY38.9¢16.04Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY39.7¢16.17Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY10.0¢96Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY9.0¢96Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY39.7¢17.72Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY39.5¢18.26Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY39.5¢18.73Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY38.0¢8.4Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY39.5¢20.47Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY39.0¢3.18Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY39.0¢20.8Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY39.5¢21.52Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%40%< 10%49%10–20%20–30%8%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.08
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.8%
Win Consistency36.7%
Profit Factor0.51
Drawdown Resilience0.41
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41
Weekly Sharpe est.0.31
Trading Activity578 trades · 24 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4636d profit18d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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