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0xd43a88...b21c11

0xd43a88...b21c11
Smart Score
10
Win Rate
39.5%
Total P&L
-$314
Trade Count
1,077
Sharpe Ratio
0.38
Sortino Ratio
2.17
Max Drawdown
26721.0%
ROI
-2.8%
Profit Factor
0.51
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
09.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL17.3¢12.63Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?BUY80.0¢14.13Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?SELL80.0¢2Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?SELL80.0¢10Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?SELL80.0¢2Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY17.1¢7.238Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY17.1¢0.65Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL17.3¢0.24Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL17.3¢10Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY17.1¢3.47Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY17.1¢11.52Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL16.8¢10.14Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY16.6¢1.199Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY16.6¢8.94Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL16.4¢8.26Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL16.4¢6.73Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY16.2¢10.99Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY16.2¢3.993Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL16.3¢14.99Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY16.1¢3.08Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%7%10–20%7%20–30%17%30–50%24%50–70%17%70–80%13%80–90%11%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing9.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.53
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.8%
Win Consistency44.6%
Profit Factor0.25
Drawdown Resilience0.20
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20
Weekly Sharpe est.0.16
Trading Activity1,077 trades · 20 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9438d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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