0xd44b86...6f75f6

0xd44b86...6f75f6
Smart Score
55
Win Rate
59.8%
Total P&L
-$120
Trade Count
116
Sharpe Ratio
0.54
Sortino Ratio
6.51
Max Drawdown
0.0%
ROI
-1.5%
Profit Factor
0.65
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
055.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Apple (AAPL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of March 2?BUY2.8¢41.75Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on March 5?BUY99.2¢40.33Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on March 5?BUY99.2¢160Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?BUY0.7¢152Mar 4
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 4?BUY4.0¢34.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on March 5?BUY1.6¢170Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 4?BUY0.9¢186.667Mar 3
Will Starmer say "Radcliffe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?BUY98.5¢0.57Mar 3
Will Starmer say "Radcliffe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?BUY98.5¢203.333Mar 3
Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?BUY98.8¢0.29Mar 1
Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?BUY98.8¢200.833Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on March 2?BUY4.1¢218.049Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 1?BUY1.0¢241.884Mar 1
Will Trump meet with Kevin Warsh in February 2026?BUY98.4¢0.21Feb 28
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?BUY4.0¢73.528Feb 27
Will Trump meet with Kevin Warsh in February 2026?BUY98.4¢206.875Feb 27
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?BUY1.1¢212.727Feb 27
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?BUY1.3¢113.846Feb 6
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 150k and 200k?BUY0.6¢236.667Feb 5
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $355?BUY98.4¢213.125Feb 5
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%28%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%70%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active55.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.05
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)50.4%
Win Consistency36.6%
Profit Factor1.44
Drawdown Resilience1.16
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.16
Weekly Sharpe est.0.89
Trading Activity116 trades · 44 active days
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P&L Calendar
$7,8990d profit43d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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