0xd46664...226ce6

0xd46664...226ce6
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
25.0%
Total P&L
+$11.8K
Trade Count
988
Sharpe Ratio
0.17
Sortino Ratio
1.42
Max Drawdown
326.6%
ROI
29.3%
Profit Factor
1.81
Kelly Fraction
0.112
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
018.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?SELL87.0¢58.7Oct 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETBUY50.0¢555Oct 11
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?SELL9.0¢104.2Oct 11
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?SELL13.0¢233.647Oct 11
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?SELL12.0¢486.74Oct 10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?SELL19.0¢130.77Oct 10
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?BUY0.8¢2,159Oct 10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?SELL13.0¢38.462Oct 10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?SELL19.0¢26.316Oct 10
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?BUY0.8¢300Oct 10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?SELL8.0¢486.74Oct 10
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?BUY0.8¢74Oct 10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?SELL13.0¢38.462Oct 10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?SELL13.0¢34.41Oct 10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?SELL19.0¢115.789Oct 10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?SELL13.0¢100Oct 10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?SELL13.0¢38.462Oct 10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?SELL18.0¢457.07Oct 10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?SELL15.0¢39.36Oct 10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?SELL18.0¢29.669Oct 10
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%47%< 10%3%10–20%3%20–30%16%30–50%19%50–70%7%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.02
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.9%
Win Consistency37.1%
Profit Factor0.48
Drawdown Resilience0.39
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39
Weekly Sharpe est.0.30
Trading Activity988 trades · 31 active days
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P&L Calendar
$10,5877d profit24d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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