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0xd501dd...8a1814

0xd501dd...8a1814
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
67.0%
Total P&L
+$34
Trade Count
401
Sharpe Ratio
0.87
Sortino Ratio
2.79
Max Drawdown
51266.8%
ROI
4.6%
Profit Factor
3.01
Kelly Fraction
0.448
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL83.0¢1.01Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL82.0¢0.09Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY84.0¢7.143Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL82.0¢0.06Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL81.0¢0.12Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL81.0¢0.06Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?SELL79.0¢0.69Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL81.0¢0.19Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?SELL80.0¢8.76Mar 5
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?BUY58.0¢3.759Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL85.0¢1.25Mar 4
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?BUY93.0¢5.376Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY77.9¢6.418Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL12.0¢18.18Mar 4
Will Oman strike Iran by March 31?SELL96.2¢5.68Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY78.0¢6.41Mar 4
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL98.2¢1.93Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?BUY97.0¢5.155Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY11.0¢18.182Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY90.0¢2.222Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%10%< 10%6%10–20%5%20–30%9%30–50%7%50–70%14%70–80%15%80–90%33%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.89
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.2%
Win Consistency47.7%
Profit Factor0.89
Drawdown Resilience0.72
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72
Weekly Sharpe est.0.55
Trading Activity401 trades · 9 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1592d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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