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0xd565bf...3609b2

0xd565bf...3609b2
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
55.6%
Total P&L
-$44
Trade Count
84
Sharpe Ratio
-1.37
Sortino Ratio
-1.24
Max Drawdown
52.7%
ROI
-0.1%
Profit Factor
3.09
Kelly Fraction
0.376
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
036.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL2.3¢10Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL2.2¢2,408Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY2.6¢268Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY2.6¢2,150Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL3.4¢4,837Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY3.4¢4,837Mar 4
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.8¢75Mar 4
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.8¢2,398Mar 4
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY96.8¢2,473Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL3.4¢2,396Mar 3
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY3.5¢2,396Mar 3
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.4¢1,082Mar 3
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.4¢1,082Mar 3
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.4¢1,567Mar 3
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.4¢693Mar 3
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.4¢2,260Mar 3
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.8¢2,179Mar 3
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.8¢48Mar 3
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY97.9¢2,227Mar 2
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.4¢2,216Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%38%< 10%10–20%5%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%53%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing36.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.0%
Win Consistency38.1%
Profit Factor0.94
Drawdown Resilience0.76
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.76
Weekly Sharpe est.0.58
Trading Activity84 trades · 14 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$833d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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