0xd587d6...c48730

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.6%

Total P&L

-$112

Trade Count

116

Sharpe Ratio

-0.59

Sortino Ratio

-0.50

Max Drawdown

1893.3%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

0.57

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	BUY	2.3¢	43.478	Mar 5
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BUY	72.5¢	41.37	Mar 5
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.9¢	38.54	Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.6¢	2,274.659	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	96.9¢	309.598	Mar 4
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SELL	99.7¢	2,573.28	Mar 4
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	99.8¢	2,680.501	Mar 1
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	BUY	98.2¢	20.367	Mar 1
USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?	BUY	99.9¢	20.02	Mar 1
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	SELL	97.1¢	306.12	Feb 28
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	2,226.796	Feb 27
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	97.2¢	15.432	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	98.0¢	306.122	Feb 27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.6¢	2,549.77	Feb 27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	2,741.698	Feb 25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	BUY	99.0¢	25.253	Feb 25
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	2,156.71	Feb 25
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	2,294.374	Feb 21
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	600.6	Feb 21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	50.251	Feb 21

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.23

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.8%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.11

Drawdown Resilience0.09

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09

Weekly Sharpe est.0.07

Trading Activity116 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$24,3663d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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