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0xd5beae...9e0e42

0xd5beae...9e0e42
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
86.2%
Total P&L
-$2.0K
Trade Count
1,973
Sharpe Ratio
0.33
Sortino Ratio
3.03
Max Drawdown
1291.7%
ROI
-1.5%
Profit Factor
0.56
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.8¢20Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.8¢7.5Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.8¢20Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.8¢7.5Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.8¢22.27Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.8¢55.88Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.8¢22.86Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.9¢492.3Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?SELL97.9¢6.36Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?SELL97.9¢0.15Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?SELL97.9¢1.18Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?SELL97.8¢1.19Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?SELL97.8¢1.18Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?SELL97.8¢0.05Mar 4
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL98.1¢345.49Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?SELL97.3¢32.69Mar 4
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY98.3¢36.39Mar 4
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL89.0¢7Mar 4
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY98.1¢70.23Mar 4
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL89.0¢5.09Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%3%50–70%5%70–80%14%80–90%78%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.19
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.8%
Win Consistency70.7%
Profit Factor0.56
Drawdown Resilience0.46
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity1,973 trades · 37 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$68,3416d profit31d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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