0xd5c4da...b6f701

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.5%

Total P&L

-$296

Trade Count

414

Sharpe Ratio

-0.19

Sortino Ratio

-0.36

Max Drawdown

1316.8%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

0.78

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	SELL	7.2¢	68.03	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	45.5¢	220.02	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	SELL	8.0¢	323.55	Mar 2
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	SELL	7.0¢	68.03	Mar 1
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	SELL	13.0¢	497.91	Feb 28
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	SELL	10.0¢	279.14	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 27?	BUY	80.0¢	1.25	Feb 27
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	SELL	98.3¢	5.95	Feb 27
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	SELL	11.0¢	57.17	Feb 27
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	52.0¢	30	Feb 4
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	54.0¢	50	Feb 3
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	55.0¢	50	Feb 3
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	56.0¢	14.77	Feb 3
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	57.0¢	50	Feb 3
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	58.0¢	40	Feb 3
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	59.0¢	50	Feb 3
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	60.0¢	50	Feb 3
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	61.0¢	15.06	Feb 3
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	61.0¢	18.51	Feb 3
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	61.0¢	14	Feb 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.30

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.0%

Win Consistency44.9%

Profit Factor0.14

Drawdown Resilience0.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.09

Trading Activity412 trades · 44 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,1339d profit35d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue