0xd5ce2e...47daa7

Smart Score

Win Rate

11.8%

Total P&L

-$43

Trade Count

792

Sharpe Ratio

5.02

Sortino Ratio

112.18

Max Drawdown

67.1%

ROI

-3.5%

Profit Factor

0.53

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

048.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	2.5¢	80	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	4.0¢	33.33	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	2.8¢	68.97	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	0.1¢	285.7	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	SELL	0.1¢	400	Mar 4
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	1.6¢	30	Mar 4
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	SELL	3.8¢	1	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	2.9¢	68.97	Mar 4
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	2.0¢	71.43	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	6.0¢	33.33	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	0.5¢	400	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?	SELL	1.0¢	111.11	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	3.4¢	32.14	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	0.7¢	285.7	Mar 4
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	1.5¢	30	Mar 4
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	SELL	3.9¢	5	Mar 4
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	1.5¢	83.33	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	3.4¢	25	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	1.9¢	90.91	Mar 4
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	3.2¢	68.97	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing48.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.67

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.2%

Win Consistency52.6%

Profit Factor1.26

Drawdown Resilience1.02

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.02

Weekly Sharpe est.0.78

Trading Activity792 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$572d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue