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0xd5d308...728e8f

0xd5d308...728e8f
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
13.8%
Total P&L
+$2.9K
Trade Count
214
Sharpe Ratio
0.56
Sortino Ratio
5.73
Max Drawdown
36692.1%
ROI
16.5%
Profit Factor
2.09
Kelly Fraction
0.072
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.7¢1,377.078Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY1.3¢797.761Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY3.8¢520.795Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY9.7¢100.51Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY9.5¢421.65Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY34.3¢87.355Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Fake news" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY2.9¢346.316Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Stand" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY11.6¢86.069Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Affordability" or "Affordable" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY39.0¢51.282Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Supreme Court" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY42.3¢26.01Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL31.9¢57.98Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY15.0¢57.98Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL75.3¢315.42Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL80.7¢240.13Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY1.4¢691.333Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY9.0¢555.556Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY10.5¢191.386Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY0.9¢422Mar 3
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?SELL19.0¢122.42Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY11.6¢171.967Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%52%< 10%33%10–20%7%20–30%6%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.38
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.8%
Win Consistency43.3%
Profit Factor0.65
Drawdown Resilience0.53
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53
Weekly Sharpe est.0.40
Trading Activity214 trades · 40 active days
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P&L Calendar
+$2,00916d profit23d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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