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0xd5dcf9...b917d8

0xd5dcf9...b917d8
Smart Score
17
Win Rate
18.4%
Total P&L
-$1.1K
Trade Count
889
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Sortino Ratio
7.01
Max Drawdown
1259.4%
ROI
-4.7%
Profit Factor
0.71
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
017.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY45.8¢65.502Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL97.2¢328.72Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY97.5¢328.726Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY27.7¢180.333Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY45.8¢109.258Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL98.5¢90.9Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL1.1¢128.75Mar 5
Will Iran strike UAE in March?SELL0.4¢769.15Mar 4
Will Iran strike UAE in March?BUY0.7¢769.154Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY15.5¢128.75Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY33.0¢90.909Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL99.4¢383.56Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY94.0¢146.617Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL53.7¢256.67Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY91.9¢236.946Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL97.4¢223.58Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY96.7¢178.195Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?BUY11.0¢90.909Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?SELL91.0¢200.44Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY96.4¢78.482Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%42%< 10%21%10–20%12%20–30%11%30–50%7%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.95
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.7%
Win Consistency30.8%
Profit Factor0.45
Drawdown Resilience0.36
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.36
Weekly Sharpe est.0.28
Trading Activity889 trades · 57 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,64811d profit41d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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