0xd5ece8...e57b2e

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.2%

Total P&L

+$83.3K

Trade Count

991

Sharpe Ratio

0.50

Sortino Ratio

1.59

Max Drawdown

195.7%

ROI

13.0%

Profit Factor

5.64

Kelly Fraction

0.685

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

042.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by December 31?	SELL	99.1¢	1.9	Dec 31
Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by December 31?	SELL	99.1¢	1,109.1	Dec 31
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?	SELL	68.0¢	325.92	Dec 31
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?	SELL	69.0¢	100	Dec 31
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?	SELL	71.0¢	65.62	Dec 31
Maduro out in 2025?	SELL	99.8¢	22,000.09	Dec 31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	SELL	99.8¢	21,813.29	Dec 31
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?	BUY	69.0¢	491.54	Dec 30
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?	SELL	71.0¢	508.45	Dec 29
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	SELL	69.0¢	31.33	Dec 29
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	SELL	69.0¢	72.58	Dec 29
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	SELL	69.0¢	2.159	Dec 29
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	SELL	69.0¢	4.826	Dec 29
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	SELL	69.0¢	9.565	Dec 29
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	SELL	69.0¢	2.812	Dec 29
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	SELL	69.0¢	1.449	Dec 29
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	SELL	69.0¢	137.66	Dec 29
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	SELL	69.0¢	338.4	Dec 29
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	SELL	69.0¢	399.19	Dec 29
Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by December 31?	BUY	98.4¢	49.72	Dec 29

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing42.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.32

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.3%

Win Consistency68.3%

Profit Factor1.09

Drawdown Resilience0.88

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.88

Weekly Sharpe est.0.67

Trading Activity991 trades · 48 active days

P&L Calendar

$215,51711d profit37d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue