0xd5f561...44abe2

0xd5f561...44abe2
Smart Score
15
Win Rate
75.0%
Total P&L
-$76
Trade Count
36
Sharpe Ratio
-1.93
Sortino Ratio
-1.32
Max Drawdown
15.9%
ROI
-14.2%
Profit Factor
0.17
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
015.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL7.0¢12.75Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY8.0¢12.75Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY83.0¢4.14Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY80.9¢5Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?SELL85.0¢10Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY92.0¢8.69Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL99.9¢8Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY95.0¢8Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?BUY92.0¢10Mar 3
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY83.0¢10Mar 3
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY92.0¢20Mar 3
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?SELL92.0¢0.91Mar 3
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?SELL92.0¢9.09Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL58.0¢7.81Mar 3
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY94.7¢20Mar 3
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?BUY89.0¢10Mar 3
US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL73.0¢20Mar 2
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY90.0¢6.37Mar 2
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY93.2¢36.64Mar 2
US forces enter Iran by March 1?BUY99.4¢34.88Mar 1
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%10–20%20–30%4%30–50%16%50–70%8%70–80%16%80–90%52%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.84
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.8%
Win Consistency52.6%
Profit Factor0.40
Drawdown Resilience0.32
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32
Weekly Sharpe est.0.24
Trading Activity36 trades · 6 active days
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P&L Calendar
$2331d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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