0xd5f63f...707d33

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.8%

Total P&L

+$7.9K

Trade Count

975

Sharpe Ratio

1.47

Sortino Ratio

463.94

Max Drawdown

432.8%

ROI

320.6%

Profit Factor

4.32

Kelly Fraction

0.344

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

044.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	3.6¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	1.2¢	53.73	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	1.2¢	7.109	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	47.26	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	3.7	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	5.18	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	9.22	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	9.52	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	26	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	1.19	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	9.52	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	25	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	9.52	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	51	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	47.571	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	101.02	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	1.2¢	439.157	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	0.3¢	35.87	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	0.3¢	20	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	0.3¢	50	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing44.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.5%

Win Consistency37.1%

Profit Factor1.16

Drawdown Resilience0.93

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.93

Weekly Sharpe est.0.71

Trading Activity975 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$7434d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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