0xd667ec...ce9a02

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.0%

Total P&L

-$14

Trade Count

231

Sharpe Ratio

-2.57

Sortino Ratio

-2.47

Max Drawdown

226.0%

ROI

-3.9%

Profit Factor

0.43

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	SELL	96.9¢	1.13	Mar 5
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	SELL	71.0¢	1.28	Mar 5
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	SELL	95.0¢	0.84	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SELL	95.0¢	1.12	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	SELL	79.0¢	0.82	Mar 5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?	SELL	85.0¢	0.42	Mar 5
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 5?	SELL	92.0¢	0.6	Mar 5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	SELL	69.0¢	0.5	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?	BUY	12.0¢	8.333	Mar 4
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	2.3¢	130.435	Mar 4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SELL	94.0¢	1.22	Mar 4
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	SELL	92.0¢	1.87	Mar 4
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	3.5¢	27.82	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	BUY	21.0¢	4.762	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	BUY	45.2¢	2.212	Mar 4
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	1.4¢	72.71	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?	BUY	3.7¢	27.027	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?	BUY	8.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?	BUY	15.0¢	6.667	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	BUY	27.0¢	3.704	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency52.5%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity231 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$1254d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue