0xd6e04b...cb8412

Smart Score

Win Rate

23.1%

Total P&L

-$1.0K

Trade Count

2,562

Sharpe Ratio

0.33

Sortino Ratio

23.35

Max Drawdown

1772.7%

ROI

-1.8%

Profit Factor

0.83

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	252.93	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	SELL	64.9¢	285.7	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	BUY	18.5¢	541.7	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	206.298	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	2.9¢	1,745.314	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	SELL	21.0¢	212.32	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	BUY	46.4¢	215.662	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET	BUY	7.7¢	261.375	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	16.1¢	310.559	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	85.0¢	312.5	Mar 4
Will Solana reach $110 March 2-8?	BUY	8.9¢	112.697	Mar 4
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 5?	BUY	9.4¢	531.915	Mar 4
Will Solana reach $110 March 2-8?	BUY	6.8¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	32.0¢	312.5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	SELL	15.2¢	632.49	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	SELL	19.6¢	536	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?	SELL	0.2¢	12,884.38	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	59.1¢	562.8	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	BUY	7.0¢	716.086	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?	BUY	0.4¢	5,000	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.1%

Win Consistency60.9%

Profit Factor0.57

Drawdown Resilience0.46

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46

Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Trading Activity1,786 trades · 175 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,59552d profit117d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue