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0xd71aec...6767f5

0xd71aec...6767f5
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
61.2%
Total P&L
-$2.0K
Trade Count
3,946
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Sortino Ratio
12.53
Max Drawdown
408.6%
ROI
-0.9%
Profit Factor
0.88
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?SELL25.1¢24.99Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY85.0¢30Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL84.2¢50Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL84.2¢150Mar 5
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY94.1¢71.67Mar 5
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY94.1¢15Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY94.1¢10Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY94.1¢3.33Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL83.0¢200Mar 4
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY97.2¢178Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY86.0¢100Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL60.0¢30Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL83.9¢200Mar 4
Set Handicap: Brooksby (-1.5) vs Popyrin (+1.5)SELL91.0¢33Mar 4
Set Handicap: Brooksby (-1.5) vs Popyrin (+1.5)BUY73.0¢18Mar 4
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian MannarinoBUY60.0¢30Mar 4
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian MannarinoSELL66.0¢30Mar 4
Set Handicap: Brooksby (-1.5) vs Popyrin (+1.5)BUY73.0¢57Mar 4
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian MannarinoSELL66.0¢100Mar 4
Set Handicap: Brooksby (-1.5) vs Popyrin (+1.5)BUY64.0¢44Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%3%10–20%5%20–30%14%30–50%22%50–70%11%70–80%12%80–90%25%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.0%
Win Consistency49.6%
Profit Factor0.69
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity3,946 trades · 47 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$89,2874d profit43d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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