0xd7213d...9057a7

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.8%

Total P&L

+$487

Trade Count

1,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.15

Sortino Ratio

0.51

Max Drawdown

1660.4%

ROI

6.2%

Profit Factor

1.36

Kelly Fraction

0.090

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	38.0¢	60	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?	SELL	0.3¢	60	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?	BUY	18.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	21.0¢	3.86	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	SELL	99.5¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	16.0¢	5.952	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	18.0¢	30	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 5?	BUY	5.0¢	11	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?	BUY	13.0¢	20.93	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 5?	BUY	5.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 5?	BUY	5.0¢	8	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?	BUY	13.0¢	8	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 5?	BUY	5.0¢	6	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?	BUY	13.0¢	21.07	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	2.4¢	60	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 5?	BUY	17.1¢	17.04	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	1.176	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	10.83	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 5?	BUY	30.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	BUY	30.0¢	10	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.60

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.9%

Win Consistency37.2%

Profit Factor0.28

Drawdown Resilience0.23

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.23

Weekly Sharpe est.0.17

Trading Activity1,000 trades · 30 active days

P&L Calendar

+$28311d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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