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0xd7a13f...9aa57b

0xd7a13f...9aa57b
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
23.3%
Total P&L
+$2
Trade Count
55
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Sortino Ratio
0.34
Max Drawdown
5.6%
ROI
2.4%
Profit Factor
1.58
Kelly Fraction
0.086
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL98.5¢1.21Mar 5
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY98.3¢1.129Mar 5
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL99.8¢1.2Mar 5
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY98.7¢1.216Mar 5
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL97.0¢1.24Mar 5
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY97.2¢1.245Mar 5
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL99.7¢1.33Mar 5
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY99.8¢1.333Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL94.9¢1.27Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?BUY99.2¢1.129Mar 5
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY99.9¢1.201Mar 5
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?SELL94.9¢1.29Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY95.0¢1.274Mar 5
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?SELL99.4¢1.33Mar 4
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?BUY99.5¢1.337Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL98.7¢1.29Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.8¢1.296Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL99.5¢1.3Mar 4
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY95.1¢1.293Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.6¢1.305Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%3%< 10%10–20%20–30%12%30–50%9%50–70%6%70–80%80–90%70%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.97
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.6%
Win Consistency43.3%
Profit Factor0.93
Drawdown Resilience0.75
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75
Weekly Sharpe est.0.57

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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