0xd7ad28...264953

0xd7ad28...264953
Smart Score
51
Win Rate
52.6%
Total P&L
+$80.2K
Trade Count
995
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Sortino Ratio
0.21
Max Drawdown
37.3%
ROI
61.4%
Profit Factor
2.98
Kelly Fraction
0.349
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
051.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL76.0¢707.65Mar 1
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL55.1¢298.42Mar 1
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL63.0¢613.86Mar 1
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL80.0¢42.138Mar 1
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL80.0¢250.9Mar 1
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY70.0¢333.333Mar 1
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY70.0¢53.73Mar 1
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY70.0¢30.233Mar 1
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY70.0¢29.9Mar 1
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY70.0¢39.88Mar 1
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL80.0¢23.4Mar 1
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY70.0¢5Mar 1
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY70.0¢5Mar 1
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY70.0¢303.74Mar 1
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL80.0¢299.9Mar 1
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL80.0¢24Mar 1
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL80.0¢100Mar 1
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL80.0¢100Mar 1
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL80.0¢64Mar 1
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL80.0¢50Mar 1
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%30%< 10%18%10–20%20%20–30%16%30–50%12%50–70%4%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing51.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.82
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)46.7%
Win Consistency39.3%
Profit Factor1.33
Drawdown Resilience1.08
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.08
Weekly Sharpe est.0.82
Trading Activity817 trades · 75 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$22,11417d profit58d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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