0xd7ebdc...119f1c

Smart Score

Win Rate

78.6%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.08

Sortino Ratio

0.77

Max Drawdown

121.0%

ROI

2.4%

Profit Factor

1.67

Kelly Fraction

0.316

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	97.4¢	3.62	Mar 5
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	2.872	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	1.932	Mar 3
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?	BUY	78.0¢	6.282	Feb 28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	65.3¢	6.126	Feb 26
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	7.778	Feb 24
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	96.5¢	3.627	Feb 23
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	7.647	Feb 23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	95.7¢	5.73	Feb 22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	96.6¢	2.07	Feb 21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	SELL	82.0¢	6.58	Feb 20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	82.0¢	6.585	Feb 19
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	BUY	91.2¢	5.603	Feb 17
Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?	BUY	95.0¢	4.716	Feb 16
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	BUY	95.9¢	5.214	Feb 16
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?	BUY	89.4¢	5.594	Feb 15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	68.0¢	5.735	Feb 14
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	BUY	93.0¢	3.075	Feb 8

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.3%

Win Consistency78.6%

Profit Factor0.67

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity18 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$503d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue