0xd7ee83...cb0e97

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.0%

Total P&L

-$1.6K

Trade Count

1,749

Sharpe Ratio

0.42

Sortino Ratio

4.15

Max Drawdown

291.2%

ROI

-0.3%

Profit Factor

0.94

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	69.1¢	114.457	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	67.0¢	30	Mar 4
ICE shooter charged by March 31?	BUY	92.0¢	1.06	Mar 4
ICE shooter charged by March 31?	BUY	92.0¢	13.17	Mar 4
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in March?	BUY	45.9¢	36.667	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	SELL	38.0¢	341.47	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	12.0¢	100.73	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	61.57	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	1.563	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	2.172	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	5.969	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	1.563	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	1.984	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	10.03	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	35.71	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	54.05	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	53.203	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	7.969	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	1.563	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	13.4	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.35

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.4%

Win Consistency60.4%

Profit Factor0.64

Drawdown Resilience0.52

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.52

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity1,749 trades · 84 active days

P&L Calendar

$88,72424d profit52d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue