0xd7f3ae...c7fa39

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.0%

Total P&L

+$28

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.13

Sortino Ratio

0.47

Max Drawdown

1420.6%

ROI

6.7%

Profit Factor

1.51

Kelly Fraction

0.135

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	BUY	23.5¢	100	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	34.0¢	100	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	36.0¢	140	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	44.0¢	227.27	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	44.0¢	227.273	Mar 3
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland	BUY	54.0¢	5.407	Feb 20
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?	SELL	9.4¢	31.17	Oct 29
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?	BUY	28.0¢	31.179	Oct 22
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?	SELL	91.0¢	9.6	Oct 22
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?	BUY	87.0¢	9.609	Sep 18
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?	SELL	19.0¢	44.01	Sep 18
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?	BUY	65.0¢	44.015	Sep 16
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?	BUY	78.0¢	25.641	Sep 2
Bitcoin above $111,000 on June 3?	BUY	16.0¢	31.25	May 30
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on May 30?	BUY	27.0¢	44.444	May 30

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.53

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.8%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.25

Drawdown Resilience0.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity15 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$1732d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue