0xd8022d...c4d766

Smart Score

Win Rate

82.7%

Total P&L

+$579

Trade Count

975

Sharpe Ratio

-0.30

Sortino Ratio

-0.50

Max Drawdown

904.6%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

1.14

Kelly Fraction

0.102

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 5?	BUY	87.9¢	341.29	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	312.82	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on March 4?	BUY	99.6¢	455.137	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 4?	BUY	98.8¢	303.536	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	217.94	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?	BUY	91.8¢	217.943	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?	BUY	95.9¢	312.826	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	1,036.62	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 4?	BUY	98.0¢	1,036.622	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 3?	SELL	99.9¢	1,016.91	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 3?	BUY	98.8¢	1,016.92	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 3?	SELL	99.9¢	1,006.17	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 3?	BUY	98.6¢	1,006.174	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 3?	SELL	99.9¢	40.1	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 3?	SELL	99.9¢	952.98	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 3?	BUY	99.7¢	952.981	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 3?	BUY	97.2¢	40.1	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 2?	SELL	99.9¢	331.35	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 2?	BUY	89.9¢	331.352	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on March 2?	SELL	98.9¢	301.14	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.64

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.7%

Win Consistency41.0%

Profit Factor0.30

Drawdown Resilience0.25

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25

Weekly Sharpe est.0.19

Trading Activity975 trades · 41 active days

P&L Calendar

$17,5126d profit34d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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