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0xd8192d...8f305e

0xd8192d...8f305e
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
61.5%
Total P&L
+$6.2K
Trade Count
54
Sharpe Ratio
0.90
Sortino Ratio
1.15
Max Drawdown
94.6%
ROI
13.8%
Profit Factor
357.79
Kelly Fraction
0.614
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.2¢2,044Mar 5
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL1.4¢2,054Mar 4
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.5¢2,054Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL2.1¢910Mar 3
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL2.1¢490Mar 3
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.5¢1,383Mar 3
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.5¢17Mar 3
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?SELL1.0¢1,450Mar 3
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?BUY1.0¢1,450Mar 3
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.2¢835.41Mar 2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.2¢1,164.59Mar 2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢190Mar 2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢1,810Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 1?BUY99.9¢43Feb 28
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL2.3¢1,350Feb 26
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL2.3¢100Feb 26
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY2.3¢1,400Feb 26
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY2.3¢50Feb 26
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February?SELL0.2¢91.89Feb 25
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February?SELL0.2¢1,300Feb 25

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%43%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%7%50–70%70–80%80–90%50%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.96
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.4%
Win Consistency38.9%
Profit Factor0.93
Drawdown Resilience0.75
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75
Weekly Sharpe est.0.57
Trading Activity54 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6,2504d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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