0xd8443e...4deee8

Smart Score

Win Rate

94.0%

Total P&L

+$6

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.20

Sortino Ratio

0.63

Max Drawdown

176.8%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

2.44

Kelly Fraction

0.555

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	90.09	Mar 5
Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	99.9¢	1.351	Mar 5
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	BUY	99.8¢	1.182	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 1?	BUY	99.9¢	98.818	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 15?	BUY	99.8¢	95.19	Feb 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 9?	BUY	99.9¢	95.205	Feb 8
Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Feb 8
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.8¢	1.202	Feb 8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on February 9?	BUY	99.9¢	1.121	Feb 8
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on February 3?	BUY	99.9¢	98.098	Feb 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 2?	BUY	0.2¢	2,000	Feb 2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	99.729	Jan 29
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	98.098	Jan 24
Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.301	Jan 24
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	1.301	Jan 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 20?	BUY	99.9¢	100.83	Jan 20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 16?	BUY	99.9¢	100.1	Jan 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 12?	BUY	99.8¢	100.2	Jan 11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 7?	BUY	99.9¢	100.1	Jan 7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 2?	BUY	99.9¢	99.099	Jan 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.65

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.3%

Win Consistency62.7%

Profit Factor0.78

Drawdown Resilience0.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity68 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,3630d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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