0xd84bfd...6e0df3

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.6%

Total P&L

+$5.6K

Trade Count

3,928

Sharpe Ratio

0.56

Sortino Ratio

53.11

Max Drawdown

184.6%

ROI

8.3%

Profit Factor

1.40

Kelly Fraction

0.116

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies	SELL	28.0¢	158.62	Mar 5
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies	SELL	28.0¢	159.47	Mar 5
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies	SELL	28.0¢	155.83	Mar 5
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies	SELL	28.0¢	159.6	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	42.0¢	196.08	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	30.5¢	267.86	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	53.0¢	153.13	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	61.6¢	127.33	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	43.0¢	9.85	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	43.0¢	3.42	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	43.0¢	15.36	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	43.0¢	7.36	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	43.0¢	6.1	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	43.0¢	2.61	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	43.0¢	2.28	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	43.0¢	6.18	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	43.0¢	28.57	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	43.0¢	15.32	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	43.0¢	5.02	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	43.0¢	2.33	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.56

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.8%

Win Consistency49.0%

Profit Factor0.74

Drawdown Resilience0.60

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity3,928 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$23,9160d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue