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0xd8db7e...570b8f

0xd8db7e...570b8f
Smart Score
17
Win Rate
69.7%
Total P&L
+$17
Trade Count
423
Sharpe Ratio
-1.72
Sortino Ratio
-1.51
Max Drawdown
30743490000000000000.0%
ROI
0.5%
Profit Factor
2.70
Kelly Fraction
0.439
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
017/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6AM ETBUY99.6¢16.064Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL62.0¢14.52Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢14.516Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5AM ETBUY99.9¢11.011Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.8¢9.29Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.9¢9.288Mar 5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY82.0¢6.098Mar 5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢6.19Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL83.0¢9.43Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢15.39Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢5.11Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢5.107Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢6.27Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL74.1¢9.27Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY97.0¢9.278Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢6.25Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETBUY98.6¢9.128Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.6¢8.27Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.8¢8.264Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL98.2¢7.2Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%12%50–70%7%70–80%8%80–90%71%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.94
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.5%
Win Consistency44.4%
Profit Factor0.44
Drawdown Resilience0.36
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.36
Weekly Sharpe est.0.27
Trading Activity423 trades · 36 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5559d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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