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0xd8f2a2...fc25ad

0xd8f2a2...fc25ad
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
29.2%
Total P&L
+$41
Trade Count
31
Sharpe Ratio
2.06
Sortino Ratio
26.92
Max Drawdown
9900.0%
ROI
30.7%
Profit Factor
2.27
Kelly Fraction
0.163
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETBUY46.9¢11.596Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY2.8¢35.714Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in March 2026?BUY4.0¢25Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in March 2026?BUY5.0¢20Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?BUY2.4¢41Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?BUY3.7¢53.569Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?BUY2.1¢47.619Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY1.6¢122.822Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?BUY1.6¢125Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?BUY1.0¢100Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY9.0¢11.111Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY11.7¢25.551Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY11.7¢8.547Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY11.9¢16.807Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY10.8¢18.519Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL0.2¢271.01Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL0.1¢508.67Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.8¢508.671Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL93.2¢41.6Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY7.0¢48.169Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%73%< 10%15%10–20%4%20–30%8%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.89
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.2%
Win Consistency33.3%
Profit Factor0.89
Drawdown Resilience0.72
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72
Weekly Sharpe est.0.55
Trading Activity31 trades · 4 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$202d profit2d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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