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0xd926d7...b46edb

0xd926d7...b46edb
Smart Score
5
Win Rate
20.4%
Total P&L
-$139
Trade Count
293
Sharpe Ratio
0.67
Sortino Ratio
4.63
Max Drawdown
952.8%
ROI
-6.5%
Profit Factor
0.47
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
05.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY23.8¢69.184Mar 5
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?SELL4.0¢411.71Mar 5
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?BUY7.0¢411.714Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL54.2¢53.18Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY10.2¢18.182Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL54.4¢3.39Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY53.1¢56.573Mar 4
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?BUY2.9¢100Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?SELL1.2¢237.03Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?BUY6.8¢237.037Feb 27
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?SELL3.4¢473.43Feb 27
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?BUY3.2¢473.438Feb 27
Will the US next strike Iran on March 30, 2026 (ET)?SELL0.5¢1,489.38Feb 27
Will the US next strike Iran on March 29, 2026 (ET)?SELL0.5¢1,009.52Feb 27
Will the US next strike Iran on March 31, 2026 (ET)?SELL0.5¢485.73Feb 27
Will the US next strike Iran on March 31, 2026 (ET)?BUY1.0¢485.738Feb 23
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL2.2¢150Feb 23
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL3.4¢50Feb 20
Will the US next strike Iran on March 30, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.6¢1,489.388Feb 18
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL26.0¢24.45Feb 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%40%< 10%17%10–20%12%20–30%24%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing5.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.29
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.7%
Win Consistency51.1%
Profit Factor0.14
Drawdown Resilience0.11
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.11
Weekly Sharpe est.0.08
Trading Activity293 trades · 40 active days
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P&L Calendar
$19013d profit21d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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