0xd94461...5c5651

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.0%

Total P&L

-$889

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.05

Sortino Ratio

-0.10

Max Drawdown

95.0%

ROI

-16.6%

Profit Factor

0.23

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	90.8¢	1.101	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	BUY	48.0¢	187.5	Mar 5
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?	BUY	5.2¢	85	Mar 4
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?	BUY	5.2¢	10.02	Mar 4
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?	BUY	5.2¢	10	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	60.7¢	164.799	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	61.9¢	161.462	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	63.0¢	158.844	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	28.3¢	1,317.91	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	40.0¢	25	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	39.8¢	25.145	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	39.5¢	25.346	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	40.0¢	25	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	40.0¢	25	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	40.0¢	25	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 9, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	87.5	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 8, 2026?	BUY	4.8¢	104.167	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	45.7¢	328.14	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	0.3¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	42.0¢	238.095	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.01

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.1%

Win Consistency45.5%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity84 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,4541d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue