0xd94636...beccf7

Smart Score

Win Rate

46.9%

Total P&L

+$584

Trade Count

1,498

Sharpe Ratio

1.23

Sortino Ratio

42.46

Max Drawdown

88.0%

ROI

14.8%

Profit Factor

1.47

Kelly Fraction

0.149

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 6?	BUY	25.3¢	24.615	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	3.9¢	83.625	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?	SELL	22.0¢	3	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?	BUY	64.1¢	22.818	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?	SELL	25.0¢	17	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?	BUY	37.0¢	20.027	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	BUY	4.0¢	26	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BUY	6.0¢	20	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BUY	6.0¢	1	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	SELL	23.0¢	6	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BUY	18.0¢	6	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	BUY	18.0¢	12	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	SELL	30.0¢	9	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	BUY	54.0¢	9	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	SELL	6.0¢	41	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	BUY	21.0¢	14.83	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	BUY	21.0¢	9.17	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	SELL	27.0¢	18	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	BUY	24.0¢	15	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	SELL	31.0¢	16	Mar 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.96

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.4%

Win Consistency60.0%

Profit Factor0.93

Drawdown Resilience0.75

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75

Weekly Sharpe est.0.57

Trading Activity1,498 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,0040d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue