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0xd99995...cb4a20

0xd99995...cb4a20
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
30.4%
Total P&L
+$33
Trade Count
4,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.70
Sortino Ratio
1.32
Max Drawdown
281.1%
ROI
0.4%
Profit Factor
1.62
Kelly Fraction
0.116
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
014.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY70.0¢5Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?SELL46.0¢5.2Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?BUY46.0¢5Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?SELL46.0¢5Mar 5
Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY66.0¢5Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?BUY46.0¢5.21Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY70.0¢5Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?SELL30.0¢5.21Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?SELL46.2¢5.21Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY30.0¢5.05Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?SELL70.0¢5.06Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?BUY47.0¢5.21Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL47.1¢5.06Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL47.1¢5.06Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY47.0¢5.06Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL53.0¢5.06Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?SELL31.0¢5.05Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY69.0¢5Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL47.0¢5.05Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY53.0¢5.05Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%6%10–20%13%20–30%34%30–50%29%50–70%11%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing14.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.78
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.8%
Win Consistency47.4%
Profit Factor0.37
Drawdown Resilience0.30
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.30
Weekly Sharpe est.0.23
Trading Activity4,000 trades · 8 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$532d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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