0xd9b471...992d6c

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.2%

Total P&L

+$89

Trade Count

138

Sharpe Ratio

0.52

Sortino Ratio

9.16

Max Drawdown

61.2%

ROI

8.7%

Profit Factor

1.40

Kelly Fraction

0.057

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

044.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	21.9¢	18.265	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	11.0¢	45.455	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 24?	BUY	15.0¢	33.333	Feb 24
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistan	BUY	40.0¢	25	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 23?	BUY	9.0¢	44.444	Feb 22
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africa	SELL	99.9¢	18	Feb 22
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africa	BUY	33.0¢	18.182	Feb 21
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs England	BUY	42.0¢	14.286	Feb 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?	BUY	21.0¢	19.048	Feb 21
T20 World Cup: Italy vs West Indies (Game 1)	SELL	30.0¢	22.09	Feb 19
T20 World Cup: Italy vs West Indies (Game 1)	BUY	11.3¢	44.192	Feb 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 18?	BUY	0.8¢	375	Feb 18
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)	SELL	99.9¢	13.15	Feb 17
T20 World Cup: Canada vs New Zealand (Game 1)	BUY	9.9¢	60.606	Feb 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 17?	BUY	49.0¢	10.204	Feb 16
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)	BUY	38.0¢	13.158	Feb 16
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)	BUY	38.0¢	26.316	Feb 16
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs West Indies (Game 1)	BUY	17.0¢	17.647	Feb 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 15?	BUY	8.0¢	62.625	Feb 14
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs South Africa (Game 1)	BUY	20.0¢	25	Feb 14

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing44.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.47

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.9%

Win Consistency49.5%

Profit Factor1.17

Drawdown Resilience0.94

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.94

Weekly Sharpe est.0.72

Trading Activity138 trades · 42 active days

P&L Calendar

+$6317d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue