0xd9b685...522cfb

Smart Score

Win Rate

80.6%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

279

Sharpe Ratio

-0.86

Sortino Ratio

-0.84

Max Drawdown

510.4%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

9.07

Kelly Fraction

0.717

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	BUY	94.8¢	40.61	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.2¢	40.54	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	40.55	Mar 4
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	95.7¢	47.93	Mar 4
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	95.7¢	47.93	Mar 4
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	96.9¢	43.19	Mar 3
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	BUY	97.1¢	43.19	Mar 3
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	91.3¢	45.39	Mar 3
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	91.3¢	45.39	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	97.4¢	51.47	Mar 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	97.5¢	51.47	Feb 25
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	97.6¢	2.04	Feb 12
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	95.3¢	49.76	Feb 12
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	97.7¢	2.04	Feb 12
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	BUY	95.6¢	49.76	Feb 12
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	94.9¢	45.6	Feb 12
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	95.1¢	45.6	Feb 12
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	97.5¢	50.45	Feb 12
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	97.8¢	50.45	Feb 12
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	SELL	97.9¢	17.38	Feb 12

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.43

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.7%

Win Consistency30.9%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity279 trades · 30 active days

P&L Calendar

$4214d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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