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0xd9c9d1...fd09ba

0xd9c9d1...fd09ba
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
74.5%
Total P&L
-$24
Trade Count
52
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08
Sortino Ratio
-0.10
Max Drawdown
2108.8%
ROI
-1.3%
Profit Factor
-0.72
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $690b and $700b on March 31?BUY95.0¢1.053Mar 5
Will xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?BUY98.5¢1.015Mar 5
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY98.6¢1.014Mar 5
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?BUY98.9¢1.011Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY99.9¢65.065Mar 5
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?BUY99.0¢3.03Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY98.9¢65.739Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?BUY99.9¢68.248Feb 12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY99.8¢68.186Feb 7
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?BUY99.8¢68.046Feb 5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢67.907Feb 2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY99.9¢67.837Jan 30
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.4¢66.207Jan 27
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.4¢65.805Jan 22
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?BUY99.8¢65.13Jan 17
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY95.5¢1.571Jan 16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?BUY99.9¢65.065Jan 16
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?BUY99.8¢66.713Jan 10
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?BUY93.4¢66.584Jan 7
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?BUY99.9¢62.062Jan 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%6%< 10%10–20%20–30%10%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%80%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency47.1%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity52 trades · 26 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,7370d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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