0xda08e0...d30e21

Smart Score

Win Rate

64.3%

Total P&L

+$210

Trade Count

137

Sharpe Ratio

0.60

Sortino Ratio

2.10

Max Drawdown

101.8%

ROI

16.0%

Profit Factor

3.69

Kelly Fraction

0.469

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	6.0¢	16.44	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	7.0¢	16.44	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	7.0¢	22.22	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	18.0¢	22.222	Mar 5
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	70.0¢	8.36	Mar 4
Will "Most Advanced" or "Most Powerful" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	50.5¢	13.33	Mar 4
Will "Performance" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	30.1¢	18.37	Mar 4
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	60.0¢	244.7	Mar 4
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	41.0¢	322.08	Mar 4
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	BUY	40.0¢	25	Mar 4
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	BUY	22.0¢	59.156	Mar 4
Will Bill Clinton say "Silence" during his Epstein testimony?	SELL	98.8¢	5	Mar 4
Will Bill Clinton say "Silence" during his Epstein testimony?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	SELL	23.3¢	10.05	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	28.0¢	10.34	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	29.0¢	10.345	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	19.9¢	10.05	Mar 4
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	BUY	14.1¢	89.02	Mar 4
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	BUY	23.9¢	8.368	Mar 3
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	BUY	11.2¢	44.817	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.14

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.4%

Win Consistency50.7%

Profit Factor1.01

Drawdown Resilience0.82

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.82

Weekly Sharpe est.0.62

Trading Activity137 trades · 31 active days

P&L Calendar

+$899d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue