0xda4555...31d95b

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.3%

Total P&L

+$1.8K

Trade Count

298

Sharpe Ratio

-0.06

Sortino Ratio

-0.16

Max Drawdown

926.1%

ROI

11.3%

Profit Factor

2.05

Kelly Fraction

0.171

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by November 4, 2025?	BUY	67.0¢	56	Nov 2
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?	BUY	0.6¢	1,898	Nov 2
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?	BUY	0.6¢	102	Nov 2
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 0-10%?	BUY	6.0¢	50	Oct 22
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 0-10%?	BUY	6.0¢	240	Oct 22
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 0-10%?	BUY	6.0¢	205	Oct 22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3)	BUY	51.0¢	100	Oct 18
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3)	BUY	59.0¢	100	Oct 18
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3)	BUY	10.0¢	50	Oct 18
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3)	SELL	34.0¢	45	Oct 18
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3)	BUY	30.0¢	50	Oct 18
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3)	SELL	55.0¢	43.23	Oct 18
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3)	SELL	48.0¢	45	Oct 18
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3)	SELL	52.0¢	37	Oct 18
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3)	BUY	24.0¢	50	Oct 18
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3)	BUY	36.0¢	45	Oct 18
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3)	BUY	36.0¢	30.234	Oct 18
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3)	SELL	63.0¢	84.85	Oct 18
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3)	SELL	58.0¢	15.15	Oct 18
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3)	BUY	30.0¢	100	Oct 18

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.83

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.7%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.39

Drawdown Resilience0.32

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity218 trades · 39 active days

P&L Calendar

+$2,11412d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue