0xda47ab...8b941c

Smart Score

Win Rate

91.9%

Total P&L

+$867

Trade Count

1,888

Sharpe Ratio

0.16

Sortino Ratio

12.23

Max Drawdown

3363.6%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

1.73

Kelly Fraction

0.388

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

039.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	94.8¢	105.523	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	94.7¢	105.597	Mar 5
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?	BUY	61.0¢	32.787	Mar 5
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	96.8¢	103.306	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	97.7¢	204.8	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	BUY	96.0¢	104.167	Mar 3
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?	BUY	94.0¢	319.149	Mar 3
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 29-April 4, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	99.5¢	519.75	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 29-April 4, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	96.2¢	103.95	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 29-April 4, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	96.2¢	311.85	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 29-April 4, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	96.2¢	103.95	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	SELL	99.0¢	106.38	Feb 28
Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.0¢	101.029	Feb 27
Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	101.128	Feb 27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	100.1	Feb 27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	98.3¢	101.729	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	82.0¢	121.951	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	106.383	Feb 27
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?	SELL	98.9¢	361.54	Feb 27
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?	SELL	98.6¢	97.44	Feb 27

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing39.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.1%

Win Consistency37.8%

Profit Factor1.03

Drawdown Resilience0.83

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.83

Weekly Sharpe est.0.64

Trading Activity1,888 trades · 51 active days

P&L Calendar

$63,0848d profit43d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue