0xda63b0...b7b031

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.3%

Total P&L

-$39.8K

Trade Count

3,289

Sharpe Ratio

0.36

Sortino Ratio

25.94

Max Drawdown

913.9%

ROI

-10.6%

Profit Factor

0.30

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	26.0¢	1.81	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	74.0¢	200	Mar 5
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?	SELL	39.5¢	544.97	Mar 5
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?	SELL	50.0¢	40	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	79.0¢	3.23	Mar 5
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?	SELL	50.0¢	30	Mar 5
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?	SELL	50.0¢	47.78	Mar 5
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	49.0¢	200	Mar 5
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	50.0¢	200	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	15.0¢	100	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	85.0¢	200	Mar 5
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	50.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	84.0¢	96.13	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	79.0¢	95.238	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	84.0¢	37.5	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	84.0¢	66.37	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	80.0¢	100	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	83.0¢	100	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	83.2¢	100	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	26.0¢	200	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.6%

Win Consistency42.7%

Profit Factor0.25

Drawdown Resilience0.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity3,289 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

$89,8174d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue