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0xda6556...3b011f

0xda6556...3b011f
Smart Score
39
Win Rate
70.0%
Total P&L
+$34
Trade Count
27
Sharpe Ratio
2.04
Sortino Ratio
6.12
Max Drawdown
9100.0%
ROI
0.8%
Profit Factor
2.61
Kelly Fraction
0.432
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
039.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?BUY98.6¢35Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?BUY98.6¢25Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY87.0¢8Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 4?BUY98.8¢338.42Mar 4
Spread: OGC Nice (-2.5)BUY96.7¢6Mar 4
Spread: CS Trinidense (-2.5)BUY97.9¢11Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.0¢43.88Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.0¢197.39Mar 3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 3?BUY97.7¢110Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?BUY99.0¢240.34Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 2?BUY98.7¢36Mar 2
US forces enter Iran by March 3?BUY98.2¢176Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 1?BUY98.0¢96.3Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?BUY97.1¢70Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 1?BUY98.0¢50Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 1?BUY98.0¢300Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?BUY97.4¢205.11Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?BUY97.2¢300Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 27?BUY98.5¢491.58Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 27?BUY1.4¢178Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%16%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%80%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.17
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.9%
Win Consistency40.0%
Profit Factor1.02
Drawdown Resilience0.83
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.83
Weekly Sharpe est.0.63
Trading Activity27 trades · 9 active days
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P&L Calendar
$3,2020d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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