0xda9b03...06fa50

Smart Score

Win Rate

48.2%

Total P&L

+$184.5K

Trade Count

3,916

Sharpe Ratio

2.01

Sortino Ratio

0.00

Max Drawdown

0.0%

ROI

45.3%

Profit Factor

1.43

Kelly Fraction

0.145

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

062.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	SELL	34.0¢	200	Mar 5
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	SELL	34.0¢	600	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	SELL	38.0¢	1,200	Mar 5
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	SELL	29.0¢	150	Mar 5
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	SELL	47.0¢	400	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	2.6¢	100	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	2.6¢	150	Mar 5
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	55.0¢	300	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	97.2¢	250	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	2.6¢	1,150	Mar 5
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	SELL	20.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	SELL	81.3¢	320	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	SELL	19.0¢	320.025	Mar 5
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	SELL	70.0¢	150	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	SELL	61.0¢	130.75	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	SELL	61.0¢	3.279	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	SELL	61.0¢	5.05	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	SELL	61.0¢	200	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	SELL	61.0¢	2.63	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	SELL	61.0¢	1.21	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active62.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.43

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)56.8%

Win Consistency100.0%

Profit Factor1.62

Drawdown Resilience1.31

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.31

Weekly Sharpe est.1.00

Trading Activity3,916 trades · 54 active days

P&L Calendar

+$395,96554d profit0d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue