0xdaa6a2...873e62

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.2%

Total P&L

+$11.9K

Trade Count

981

Sharpe Ratio

1.58

Sortino Ratio

16.61

Max Drawdown

933.8%

ROI

14.3%

Profit Factor

10.28

Kelly Fraction

0.606

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

053.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	BUY	44.0¢	20.41	Mar 4
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?	BUY	52.0¢	11	Mar 4
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?	BUY	52.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?	BUY	52.0¢	273	Mar 4
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?	BUY	52.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	BUY	30.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	32.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	32.0¢	273.04	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	68.0¢	35.63	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	74.0¢	14.37	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	64.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	66.0¢	154.5	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 7, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	BUY	26.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	BUY	23.3¢	45	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	39.0¢	1.07	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	39.0¢	76.923	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	39.0¢	25.641	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	39.0¢	116	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	39.0¢	52.22	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing53.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.95

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.9%

Win Consistency52.4%

Profit Factor1.40

Drawdown Resilience1.13

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.13

Weekly Sharpe est.0.86

Trading Activity981 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$2457d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue