0xdad3dd...1ad4e8

0xdad3dd...1ad4e8
Smart Score
63
Win Rate
36.6%
Total P&L
+$522
Trade Count
124
Sharpe Ratio
0.68
Sortino Ratio
21.93
Max Drawdown
35.8%
ROI
12.0%
Profit Factor
3.94
Kelly Fraction
0.273
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
062.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY2.0¢66Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 5?BUY4.0¢15.8Mar 4
Will "So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?BUY99.2¢95Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 5?BUY4.0¢30.6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 5?BUY6.0¢43Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on March 5?BUY2.0¢93.5Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 5 be greater than 2,800,000?BUY96.3¢87.297Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 4?BUY98.6¢129.286Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on March 4?BUY1.1¢146.364Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on March 4?BUY1.6¢200Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 3?BUY99.1¢0.46Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 3?BUY99.1¢214.444Mar 2
Will "Love is Blind: Ohio" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?BUY99.1¢232.222Mar 2
Will Gretchen Brown be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?BUY1.2¢120.245Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on March 2?BUY1.8¢100.194Mar 2
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?BUY1.2¢240Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C on March 2?BUY98.4¢0.49Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C on March 2?BUY98.4¢228.125Mar 1
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $245-$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?BUY99.3¢0.64Feb 27
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $245-$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?BUY99.3¢234.286Feb 27
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%55%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%44%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active62.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.46
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)57.2%
Win Consistency41.6%
Profit Factor1.64
Drawdown Resilience1.32
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.32
Weekly Sharpe est.1.01
Trading Activity124 trades · 52 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4,2370d profit51d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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