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0xdaf3fd...6c57f7

0xdaf3fd...6c57f7
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
30.5%
Total P&L
-$984
Trade Count
426
Sharpe Ratio
0.55
Sortino Ratio
18.56
Max Drawdown
115.4%
ROI
-7.6%
Profit Factor
0.63
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2¢500Mar 5
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?SELL41.0¢26.18Mar 5
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?SELL42.0¢11.33Mar 5
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?SELL39.5¢107.77Mar 5
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?BUY63.0¢5.92Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL34.0¢266.66Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY3.0¢33.333Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.9¢111.111Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY3.0¢33.333Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETSELL51.1¢10.06Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETBUY48.9¢10.225Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY14.6¢13.667Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETSELL99.1¢3.46Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY56.9¢3.515Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETSELL23.1¢12.43Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY23.9¢12.542Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETSELL99.1¢8.65Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY56.9¢8.787Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY43.9¢18.223Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY50.0¢10Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%30%< 10%9%10–20%21%20–30%25%30–50%13%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.18
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.5%
Win Consistency40.9%
Profit Factor0.56
Drawdown Resilience0.45
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45
Weekly Sharpe est.0.34
Trading Activity426 trades · 47 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,17715d profit31d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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