0xdafe9c...bd1485

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.0%

Total P&L

+$13

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-3.98

Sortino Ratio

-3.63

Max Drawdown

270.5%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

1.45

Kelly Fraction

0.125

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	186.186	Mar 5
Hornets vs. Celtics	BUY	31.0¢	32.903	Mar 4
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	139.14	Mar 4
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	139.139	Mar 4
Knicks vs. Raptors	BUY	44.0¢	30.909	Mar 3
Suns vs. Kings	BUY	77.0¢	44.026	Mar 3
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves	BUY	88.0¢	25	Mar 3
Nets vs. Heat	BUY	86.0¢	38.023	Mar 3
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.3¢	168.5	Mar 2
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.7¢	168.505	Mar 2
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.5¢	204.81	Mar 2
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.6¢	204.819	Mar 1
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	99.7¢	155.31	Mar 1
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	99.8¢	155.311	Mar 1
Fabric FDV above $700M one day after launch?	BUY	99.7¢	8.024	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 28?	BUY	99.8¢	47.094	Feb 28
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SELL	99.7¢	195.39	Feb 28
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	99.8¢	195.391	Feb 27
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	99.7¢	215	Feb 27
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	99.7¢	116.85	Feb 27

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.1%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.03

Drawdown Resilience0.03

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.03

Weekly Sharpe est.0.02

Trading Activity34 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$3885d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue